Arbitrum has managed to maintain its place amongst the top names in decentralized finance (DeFi) despite the unfavorable conditions gripping the space in 2023. However, the price of ARB (the network’s native token), met with a euphoric welcome in March, has been struggling.
The Arbitrum token’s price tumbled to a new historical low of $0.747217 on Monday, the 11th of September, with its honeymoon phase seemingly over. The token’s value dipped by more than 12% in the past week, leaving investors wondering what could be behind this bearish movement.
ARB’s latest price downturn has been associated with the increased market activity of Arbitrum whales in the past few days. On Monday, crypto journalist Colin Wu reported that three whales transferred 10.23 million ARB (worth about $8 million) to Binance.
The first whale reportedly sold 3.8 million ARB at $0.77 per token, while the second whale – with the pseudonym vladilena2.eth – sold 3.63 million ARB at $0.83 per token. Meanwhile, the third whale moved 2.8 million ARB for $0.79 per token.
This seeming loss of interest from whales may have precipitated the downward pressure that pushed Arbitrum to a new all-time low. Unfortunately, there appears to be no end, as whales have continued to dump their ARB tokens in the last few hours.
According to a Lookonchain report, seven whales have dumped 20.41 million ARB tokens (valued at about $16.05 million) in the last 30 hours. The blockchain analytics platform revealed that these whales generated a total loss of $8.15 million.
It is worth noting that general market sentiment may have also contributed to ARB’s price performance. As of this writing, the Arbitrum native token is valued at $0.781039, according to CoinGecko data.
Another plausible reason for ARB’s recent price downturn is the dwindling activity on the Arbitrum network. While the chain continues to hold its own as a prominent L2 network, it has been experiencing a steady decline in total value locked (TVL).
According to DefiLlama data, Arbitrum has a total value of $1.65 billion in assets locked on its network, reflecting a more than 35% decline in the past four months. This current figure also represents the network’s lowest TVL since March.
The sustained decrease in total value locked suggests a loss of investor confidence, which could discourage participants from onboarding the network.
Recent governance proposals are another factor that may have contributed to the latest fall in Arbitrum price. Notably, PlutusDAO introduced a proposal on September 9 seeking to return tokens from the DAO treasury to ARB holders.
If approved, the governance proposal would involve activating a staking mechanism and the creation of native yield for participants, which could see the annual release of up to 2% of the total token supply. Some investors view this proposal as inflationary, as it would likely exert downward pressure on the price of Arbitrum.
Ultimately, ARB’s latest market performance appears to result from a combination of loss of investor interest, dwindling network activity, and unsatisfactory governance mechanisms.
ARB Price continues a downward trend on daily timeframe | Source: ARBUSDTS chart on TradingView
Featured image from SoFi, chart from TradingView